Expectancy calculator
Average money made per trade from win rate and average win/loss, scaled to a month.
Expectancy / trade
$35
0.35 R
Profit factor
1.64
Monthly expectancy
$1,400
Yearly expectancy
$16,800
How it's calculated
Expectancy per trade is win rate × average win minus loss rate × average loss. Expressed in R it's expectancy divided by the average loss. Profit factor is total expected wins divided by total expected losses. Monthly expectancy is per-trade expectancy times trades per month. A positive expectancy over a large sample is the only thing that makes a strategy worth running.
Everything runs in your browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Results are estimates; your broker's contract specification is the final word.
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